ACCOUNTING


OVERVIEW

We know that public pensions are significantly underfunded, but answering the question of “just how underfunded?” is harder than you might think. This is because pension plans can make accounting choices that change their reported funding gaps without any change in the amount of assets they hold or the liabilities they owe. Sometimes, these choices hide the true extent of pension underfunding, leading lawmakers and taxpayers to underestimate the true cost of promises to public employees.

This primer covers two key accounting concepts that are used and misused to determine a pension plan’s funding gap. One, selection of the “discount rate,” regards the amount of money that must be set aside in the present to cover a liability due far in the future. The other, “asset smoothing,” refers to the way pension plans recognize unusually strong or weak asset returns, such as those we have seen since the second half of 2008... continue reading >>

 

FORUM

The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania's two main pension plans, SERS and PSERS are staring at a daunting liability. According to actuarial methods the unfunded liability for these two plans is $39.5 billion. I calculate, using a risk-free discount rate, that it is $116 billion. Lawmakers know they have a serious problem on their hands. 
The Urban Institute has put together fascinating interactive charts on the basis of the grades it gave to American cities on the degree of equity for African-Americans and Latinos. The general findings of the Institute's study was that blacks and Latinos are likely to hold better jobs, live in nicer neighborhoods, and send their children to better schools in the South and West than in the Northeast and Midwest. What the report calls the "opportunity gap" is between blacks and whites is narrowest in Albuquerque (NM), El Paso (TX), and Lakeland (FL) and widest in Milwaukee (WI), Chicago (IL) and Buffalo (NY). The rankings reflect residential segregation, income disparities between groups, school test scores, employment rates, and homeownership. Worth a look.
George Will's column today draws on some new research by Paul Peterson and Daniel Nadler at Harvard. They find that the higher the percentage of public employee who are unionized, the greater risk investors see of the state defaulting on its bonds, resulting in higher interest rates.
The New York Times Julie Creswell reports on the strategy undertaken by some public sector plans to embrace more investment risk in the wake of the market crash of 2008. The results are not what plan managers were hoping for.
Dan DiSalvo's new report for the Manhattan Institute points to the enormous resources that government unions garner through dues to spend on influencing policy in lobbying and political advertising. Increasingly, union leaders find themselves being called by the media to justify this enormous spending, and their justifications can be wildly creative, according to Mike Antonucci at the blog Intercepts.

 

 

 

 
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PSI ARTICLES

A Reply to Dean Baker on Pension Panic Josh Barro, Mar 07, 2011
"State and Municipal Debt: The Coming Crisis?" Nicole Gelinas, Feb 07, 2011


RESEARCH

The Crisis in Local Government Pensions in the United States Robert Novy-Marx and Joshua D. Rauh, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, October 13, 2010
Unfunded Liabilities of State and Local Government Employees Retirement Plans Courtney Collins and Andrew J. Rettenmaier, National Center for Policy, National Center for Policy Analysis, July 29, 2010

more research on accounting >>


ARTICLES

New Jersey's Pension Misdeeds Are Real, But Not Unusual Josh Barro, RealClearMarkets.com, 08-24-10

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PODCASTS

Josh Barro interviews Steven Greenhut about his PSI article, "California leaders offering false budget choices"
E.J. McMahon interviews Eileen Norcross about her PSI article "Unrealistic Pension Accounting Rules Covering a Multitude of Shortfalls"

more podcasts on accounting >>

 
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